Domestic Financial Terrorism – How do we defend?

The level of destruction on our financial system is incredible compared to what even Timothy McVee did as a domestic terrorist. You have to ask yourself who do some of these bankers and investment firms work for when you look at what they’ve done to the once wealthiest nation in the world.

Right now we’ve got $2 trillion in short-term debt that has to be refinanced this year of 2010 and China, India and Russia are not buying. This is not counting the extra deficit spending which should top $1.35 trillion this year…more or less. The fact the countries we’ve relied on are not buying means we have to fire up the printing presses again. We would already acknowledge that we are at a 10% inflation but the money folks have been using tricky phrases like “core inflation” which ignores half the things we spend money on so that way they can keep the numbers looking low.

A great book called This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly by Carmen Reinhard and Kenneth Rogoff shows that EVERY TIME a nation’s debt went above 90% of GDP or Growth Domestic Product…the nation failed. The book studies 25 countries over 800 years and there were NO exceptions to the 90% rule. Every nation that ran their deficits to this 90% ratio is now off the map or turned Third World.

Right now, the US is above 90% and there appears no way to bring it down for decades unless some obscure genius comes out of the woodwork as they are not in the White House, Treasury or Fed.

It is unclear what Americans will do, especially for their retirement as the very tool our bankers use against us (stock market) they expect us to hand over our life’s savings and just be ok with negative 30 or 40% loses. You know, its just the market reacting and it goes up and down. Why is that Ok? Why should we accept losses that take us forever to recover just to get back where we started be considered alright?

We need to redo some of the Healthcare Reform Act that President Obama so valiantly promoted before 2013 when our investments could be ravaged with a sur-tax just because we are in a certain income bracket and that bracket is not hard to be in if you live in a state with a high cost of living. Where is Sarah Palin and the Tea Party when we need them.

It is time to look at guaranteed opportunities that does not go down when the market goes down. When Wall Street was once honorable a man named Benjamin Graham (mentor to Warren Buffet) extolled what was an investment. It preserved principal and gave an adequate return. We need to get back to this simple idea and quit trying to find home runs since base hits get you to home plate just as well.

We also need tax-free strategies to weather the storm our own government and their brainy bankers have left before us. It was like turning on the gas to an already smoldering economy.

James Burns

Obama and The Fate of your Estate

We are getting closer to some permanency in terms of future estate tax. US Congressman Earl Pomeroy (D – SD) has stated that  nearly every family, farmer and small business in America will be exempt from paying any estate tax under a bill passed by the House of Representatives on December 3, 2009.

The Permanent Estate Tax Relief for Families, Farmers, and Small Businesses Act of 2009 (HR 4154), authored by Pomeroy, would make  the 2009 estate tax exemption level of USD $3.5m permanent for an individual ($7m for a married couple) and a maximum tax rate of 45%.  The bill also maintains the “step-up in basis” tax rules, which protect many heirs from paying additional capital gains taxes on appreciated assets they inherit.

The bill was approved by 225 votes to 200, but must be passed by the Senate and signed by President Obama before it can become law.

Without change, the estate tax is scheduled to enter one year of full repeal (no taxes at all) in 2010 followed by a return of the estate tax in 2011 with much lower exemption amount ($1,000,000m per person or $2,000,000 for a married couple) and a much higher maximum tax rate (55%)…ouch!!!

The one year of estate tax repeal was also coupled with the enactment of  “carryover basis” tax rules, which will require heirs in 2010 to pay capital gains taxes on inherited assets based on the decedent’s original purchase price.

Under the step-up in basis rules, continued under Pomeroy’s bill, the value of the asset is calculated at the time of the decedent’s death. It is claimed that preserving the step-up in basis rules will protect small businesses from paying an estimated $34,000,000,000 billion in capital gains taxes so who knows if this bill will make it because they could really use this to pay for bailout and TARP funds.

According to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service, the continuation of the$7m exemption for couples will help the vast majority of family farmers, as the average farm household’s net worth ranged from $586,000 for small farms to $2,200,000m for very large farms in 2008.

“By making the 2009 estate tax level permanent, we will make the estate tax go away for 99.75% of all percent of families, farmers, and small businesses in this country,” Pomeroy observed, concluding that: “It’s time to resolve this issue once and for all, and this bill is the fair way to do it.”

We so desperately need to know the rules of the game so we can start playing to win it again and hopefully Senate and the President can get on board and make this happen.

Untaxingly,

James Burns, Esq.

“The Sensation with Inflation”

There is a lot of confusion as to where we are headed right now so I thought I would break down the different flations and maybe we can all decide which one is the fit right now.

Inflation is a where your currency buys less due to a rise in the price of goods and services; accordingly, inflation is the erosion in the purchasing power of money. Over time, as the cost of goods and services increase, the value of a dollar is going to fall because a person won’t be able to purchase as much with that dollar as he/she previously could.

What cost $29,900 in 2000 would cost $37031.75 in 2008. Also, if you were to buy exactly the same products in 2008 and 2000, they would cost you $29900 and $24235.11 respectively.

As a harbinger, gold recently rallied above $1,000 an ounce and many experts think that this is partly due to the Fed’s continued money-printing campaign over the past year will cause the dollar to weaken even further than it already has.

That’s putting upward pressure on other commodities. Oil is trading around $71.50 a barrel, an increase of about 20% over the past six months. The prices of sugar and copper have shot up.

Deflation: A decline in price levels caused by a decline in the supply of money or credit. Deflation often includes the side-effect of enlarged unemployment because of the lower demand for goods and services in the financial system.

Stagflation: High inflation and high unemployment occurring simultaneously.

Taxflation: aka bracket creep the gradual movement of income into a higher federal income-tax bracket as a result of wage and income increases intended to help offset inflation. It can also affect the liquidity of an estate by increasing the estate tax burden.

Example – single person with estate worth $5,000,000 and in 2009 that would cost the estate $1,200,000 or represent shrinkage of 24%.

If they pass away in 5 years or 2014- and was growing at 8% per year. The estate will have grown to approximately $7,346,640.38 the federal estate taxes would be $3,893,719 and represent shrinkage of about 53%.

It looks like we have a combination of them all but I would say Taxflation and stagflation are a good fit but it really is anyone’s guess.