“The Sensation with Inflation”

There is a lot of confusion as to where we are headed right now so I thought I would break down the different flations and maybe we can all decide which one is the fit right now.

Inflation is a where your currency buys less due to a rise in the price of goods and services; accordingly, inflation is the erosion in the purchasing power of money. Over time, as the cost of goods and services increase, the value of a dollar is going to fall because a person won’t be able to purchase as much with that dollar as he/she previously could.

What cost $29,900 in 2000 would cost $37031.75 in 2008. Also, if you were to buy exactly the same products in 2008 and 2000, they would cost you $29900 and $24235.11 respectively.

As a harbinger, gold recently rallied above $1,000 an ounce and many experts think that this is partly due to the Fed’s continued money-printing campaign over the past year will cause the dollar to weaken even further than it already has.

That’s putting upward pressure on other commodities. Oil is trading around $71.50 a barrel, an increase of about 20% over the past six months. The prices of sugar and copper have shot up.

Deflation: A decline in price levels caused by a decline in the supply of money or credit. Deflation often includes the side-effect of enlarged unemployment because of the lower demand for goods and services in the financial system.

Stagflation: High inflation and high unemployment occurring simultaneously.

Taxflation: aka bracket creep the gradual movement of income into a higher federal income-tax bracket as a result of wage and income increases intended to help offset inflation. It can also affect the liquidity of an estate by increasing the estate tax burden.

Example – single person with estate worth $5,000,000 and in 2009 that would cost the estate $1,200,000 or represent shrinkage of 24%.

If they pass away in 5 years or 2014- and was growing at 8% per year. The estate will have grown to approximately $7,346,640.38 the federal estate taxes would be $3,893,719 and represent shrinkage of about 53%.

It looks like we have a combination of them all but I would say Taxflation and stagflation are a good fit but it really is anyone’s guess.